March 1st Slate

SONKdfs Picks

Matchup

XGF of both even strength and power play and penalty kill matchup

Faves

VAN L2 – The lotto line Boeser $6100 Petterson $5700 Miller $5300 is reunited tonight. They have the excellent matchup against WPG. VAN tweaked their PP swapping Boeser and Petterson for a different shot look and Miller looks to be net front. Petterson continues to climb the ranks and is up to 10th in the SONK model.

FLA 1/PP– Barkov $6900 has burned me a couple times this year. It’s hard to argue against him tonight, he’s top in xGF(see image below) and running a lethal PP. Add in a cheap Vatrano $3600, low priced Ekblad $5200 or $6000 Hornqvist and you’re set. Yandle $4200 is another option here for PP exposure.

EDM PP– Stack however you want. Edm was shutout last game by TOR, it’s highly unlikely they get blanked again.

Puuuuuunts

Need value in your stacks? Take a look at the punt tool below. Keep an eye on Tarasenko $2500 who could go tonight too.

Sonk of the Night

Tkachuk/Stuetzle $6800/$3700- The bromance is real. This is more of an acknowledgement that I like both these guys and they’ll see time together on the PP. CGY goaltending is still without Markstrom and these two guys have shown strong underlying numbers for a breakout. Most will hammer in Batherson $3900 as he’s scored in every game lately but he’s shooting at an unrealistic 40% and likely regresses.

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