SONKdfs Picks
Faves
TOR 1- Obvious (same with EDM PP) but expensive is Matthews $8800, Marner $7700 and an affordable Hyman $4700. Hyman moves to PP1 in place of injured Simmonds. PP2 is extremely cheap and Tor giving both PP a run, get exposure with Mikheyev $2800, Nylander $5600 and Spezza $3300. Lehtonen $2500 is there too but TOR going 11/7 tonight so his mins probably less than 10. This matchup again screams TOR smash based on line matching too
OTT1- Tkachuk $6700, Norris $4900, Dadanov $3400, add in Chabot $6200 if you like. Ott1 on home ice should get Edm 2/3 matchup. Their xGF remains strong with Brady due for a big night. Drop Norris and throw in Stuetzle for PP1.
TB3- Value? Gourde $3800/Coleman$3700/Goodrow $2700 has been TB best line imo. TB1 has the talent to go off but doesn’t have a great matchup and in fact is not generating a ton the past few games. Gourde/Coleman on PP2 with Sergachev $4200.
Fades
CBJ – In a tough matchup, they haven’t been the shutdown team of the past. Scored 5 on 22 shots yesterday. Their chances for 26 and chances against 44, not great.
Sonk of the Night
Brady Tkachuk -$6700 is too cheap for Brady at home against EDM. His xGF is one of the strongest in the slate and should dominate Edm 2/3 lines. I don’t think he sees high ownership tonight as most will flock too TOR/EDM for good reason.
Nylander – $5600. Willy ranks 11th on the SONK model. He doesn’t get the PP1 time but TOR running 11/7 tonight should bump up TOR2 mins slightly.
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