A few covid situations around the league but we still have a solid 8 game matchup. Based on the matchup chart below I’ll keep exposure to Tor/MTL/Van/Car/CGY but there is an OTT nugget in there we will get too.
SONKdfs Picks
Faves
TOR PP- Matthews $8500, Tavares $6500, Rielly $5600, Marner $7400 are all solid options and will see high ownership tonight. A pick at the worst defensive lines below and clearly VAN has a tough time defending. Pick three or if you need salary relief look at Simmonds $2500 (PP1) and/or Nylander $5300 both TOR2
CAR2 – Trochek $5900, Necas $3500, Niederreiter $4200 is a solid value stack. Trochek hits #10 in the model and has a solid matchup. This line correlates well with a cheap Pesce and also sees pp time. FWIW the CAR3 of Staal $4100 and Foegele $2600 projects decent and provides even further savings.
Toffoli $6500- Taking a peek at top projected player on the chart below and we find Mr. Toffoli. Prior he was over scoring his generation but he’s since been firing the puck a ton. A steep price but optimal play.
Fades
CLS– Dal is historically known for shutting down high paced games. They’ve actually had a couple high paced this year but their defensive numbers are strong
FLA– Interested to see what people do with FLA tonight. I’m going to fade, the reason? Their xGA numbers as a team even strength are exceptional. Their goaltending is killing them right now and could easily happen tonight but I’ll play the regress of better goaltending.
SONK of the Night
White- $3300. Colin White has been generating and at his price it gives you a nice little one off to spend up elsewhere. He continues to generate exceptional xGF as seen below but hasn’t quite hit the rewards as much as he should. I’ll jump on him if I need the salary
Good luck tonight whichever way you go! Jump into our discord community ($8/month) for all daily models and hockey chatter!
