SONKdfs Picks
Faves
EDM1- Unless you are going contrarian, you’ll be taking TOR1 or EDM1. It’s possible to squeeze in a bit of both but I’m higher on Edm1. Check out the line match below, a new valuable tool for DFS. McD $8600, Nuge $6800, Puljujarvi $4700 all L1 and PP1. Puljujarvi splits a bit of time with Chiasson on PP1. Edm at home picks the matchup and L1 for Edm has greater than 3 xGF based on matchup. Add in Barrie $5800 who’s #1 in iCF on the slate. Or get cheaper and take Bouchard $3900 who also ranks high in iCF.
OTT2- Taking one of the big lines you’re going to need some savings. Paul $2900 has been exceptional and underpriced based on recent play. Below you’ll see xG vs actual goals, Paul a leader at his price range and underscoring his offensive production right now. Projection is solid with Tor giving up a ton of chances. Pair with Dadanov $3300.
Fades
CHI- Debrincat/Kane have been blazing. But DET is surprisingly strong defensively. They have a couple lines listed as top defensive (see chart below) and home ice matchup gives them a better ability to shut down CHI.
Sonk of the Night – Fav GPP Players under $4k
Bouchard – $3900 This play is a bit lineup dependent. We saw Lagesson go down with an injury and Bouchard picked up quite a few minutes. He has an absolute cannon of a shot and he’s accurate. He had 8 SOG last game with the added minutes. Oh and he takes some PP time when Barrie is tired. Keep an eye on Edm d lineup tonight.
Gaudette– $2500 Ranks 24th on the SONK model (full model below). The injury to Motte and Virtanen in and out of the lineup gives Gaudette a chance on 3rd line. This is lineup dependent but he generates a decent amount in limited time. Coach does not trust him.
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